By Walt Crawford
Walt Crawford, coauthor of destiny Libraries: goals, insanity, & truth, deals another version to a simplistic electronic destiny in Being Analog: growing Tomorrow's Libraries. The continuously outspoken Crawford demanding situations renowned prognostications, announcing that the complicated mixture of applied sciences tasks no transparent route to the long run and that individuals use know-how in unforeseen methods. In ultra-modern aggressive investment surroundings, electronic goals of digital libraries pose the true possibility of inaccurate actual and budgetary making plans. Crawford's cogent arguments can assist you articulate your personal point of view to directors, employees, or clients who declare that the digital library will do all of it for much less. He explores the jobs of libraries and the explanations humans use libraries. He is helping you're making offerings one of the ever moving, complicated mixtures of electronic and analog assets. Being Analog celebrates the outstanding effects specialist librarianship has accomplished in sensibly combining human intelligence and machine strength. It issues the right way to a true international the place versatile libraries help latest prone and assets whereas accommodating tomorrow's alterations.
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Cm. Includes bibliographical references (p. ) and index. Libraries United StatesData processing. Title. 973dc21 98-40764 Copyright © 1999 by Walt Crawford. All rights reserved except those which may be granted by Sections 107 and 108 of the Copyright Revision Act of 1976. Printed in the United States of America. 03 02 01 00 99 5 4 3 2 1 Page iii CONTENTS Preface v Part I Being Analog 1 1 The Future Is Not What It Used to Be 3 2 The All-Digital Future Does Not Compute 15 3 Different Strokes: People and the Future 29 4 Coping with Nonsense: Numeracy and Common Sense 42 Part II Libraries and Librarians 57 5 Tomorrow's Libraries: Complex Places 59 6 Tomorrow's Libraries: Complex Services 74 7 Many Libraries: Strength in Diversity 90 8 Real Librarianship in a Complex World 108 Page iv Part III Resources and Users 121 9 Books and Beyond: Thinking about Media 123 10 New Media, New Niches 137 11 Digital Resources and Analog Users 151 12 Telling Your Stories, Hearing Their Needs 168 Part IV Creating Tomorrow's Libraries 183 13 The Circle of Sharing: Why Cataloging Still Counts 185 14 Partnerships: Libraries and the Community 197 15 Partnerships: The Community of Libraries 204 16 Taking on New Roles 219 Conclusion Revolution through Evolution 229 Bibliography 235 Index 237 Page v PREFACE Michael Gorman and I wrote Future Libraries: Dreams, Madness, & Reality based on the writing and speaking that each of us had been doing in the early 1990s.
Page 15 2 The All-Digital Future Does Not Compute One of the twentieth century's great miracles is the cost-effectiveness curve of digital technology. Central processing units (CPUs), the "brains" of personal computers, continue to follow Moore's Law: roughly every eighteen months, you get twice as much power for the same price. That's a geometric curve. After seventy-two months, you get 16 times the value; after twelve years, 256 times the value. Several related areas have shown value improvements on the same scale.
And DVD-ROM will sweep away CD-ROM as surely and rapidly as DVD sweeps away VHS and audio CD. Or will it? By the time this book appears, you may know whether DVD is a big winner, a flop, or (most likely) somewhere in between. What I can say (with some confidence) is that DVD's market share and rate of adoption are not predictable, no matter how big the marketing push. In this case, Toshiba, Sony, Philips, Matsushita, and others proposebut you and I dispose. These examples show the unpredictability of market adoption.